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广生堂300436新闻资讯
（小盘股）
市场关注度指数(MAI)：405.63
&&&&市净率：%
平均MAI指数(活跃度)：141.44
动态市盈率：83.35%
MAI指数相对异动：+186.78%
&&&&流通市值：26.30&亿
CSRC行业分类：
&广生堂题材概念
    
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广生堂：预计2016年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润6，209.68万元-8，279.57万元，同比下降20%-40%
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广生堂增长拐点即将显现，重磅新药替诺福韦已经进入优先审评通道，如能顺利获批将利好公司业绩。
2016年前三季度营业收入、扣非净利润分别为2.3亿元、0.56亿元，同比增长分别为0.05%、-28%；2016Q3 营业收入、扣非净利润分别为0.78 亿元、0.18 亿元，同比增长分别为-6%、-40%。收入下滑主要是受产品收入结构变化、阿甘定及贺甘定毛利率下降影响。另外，期间内公司立项多个1 类新药研发项目，研发投入约为0.37 亿元，同比增长约为117%，且费用化比例高达90%。公司增长拐点即将显现，重磅新药替诺福韦已经进入优先审评通道，如能顺利获批将利好公司业绩。（替诺福韦酯是目前治疗慢性乙肝的一线药物,价格适中，是一种性价比非常高的抗乙肝病毒药物。公司该品种于今年7月21日被国家食品药品监督管理局列入优先审评品种，目前甲报生产批件阶段的评审过程进展顺利）
研究报告表示，替诺福韦是全球最有效的抗乙肝病毒药物之一，该药与恩替卡韦是国内仅有的乙肝治疗一线用药。国内目前仅有原研药物“韦瑞德”在销售，2015 年样本医院销售额约为2500万元。替诺福韦参与了药价谈判后降价67%，由原来1500 元月均费用降低至490 元。我们认为替诺福韦降价后调整进入国家医保将是大概率事件，其市场销售额有望迅速放量，3 年内市场规模或将达到30 亿规模。如公司报批的替诺福韦顺利获批，将明显改善公司业绩；西南证券预计 年EPS 分别0.61 元、0.80 元、1.29 元（原预测 年EPS 分别为0.65 元、0.76 元、0.90 元，调整的原因为产品收入增速及期间费用率变化），对应市盈率分别为100 倍、76 倍、47 倍。受乙肝用药指南变化、药品价格下降以及期间费用增加影响，公司当前业绩压力较大。但随着恩甘定放量及替诺福韦获批，公司业绩或出现好转。长期看好公司发展前景，维持“买入”评级。
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